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  • Is it time to rethink customer segmentation?

    by Graham Brown

    Recommended Reading

    Get mobileYouth’s latest report: The End of Customer Segmentation

    Overview

    Last week we established 3 reasons why youth are important to your business. Now you have the business case, how do you start to manage the youth market?

    Before we jump into segmentation, let’s first look at youth market. A good a places as any is to start with music because if you want to understand young people today, look at the changes in the music industry:

    • Musical genres like “rock”, “pop” and “world music” have become irrelevant
    • Successful artists like Jay-Z, Madonna and Bowie transcend genres
    • Success has moved from servicing a genre to joining the dots between them

    Music is an analogy for identity and, therefore, a powerful insight into marketing.

    Consider these points in terms of marketing:

    • Market segmentation has become irrelevant
    • Successful brands like Red-Bull, Apple and Amazon aren’t defined by segment
    • Success is about defining your own tribe of followers and connecting the dots between this diaspora

    Shawn Carter’s Story

    Shawn Carter is a true American rags-to-riches story. Born into a poor neighborhood in Bedford-Stuyvesant, New York, Carter, through a series of shrewd business dealings, amassed a net worth of $500 million by his 40th birthday.

    You may better know him as the 17 time Emmy award winning hip-hop artist Jay-Z, ex president of Def-Jam and Rocafella records. His music empire knows no bounds – from clothing to movies to courting the paparazzi with his celebrity wife Beyonce.

    When he sat down to interview with Steve Forbes and Warren Buffet (yes you read that right) wearing a tailored suit more Savile Row than Brooklyn you could have been forgiven for thinking that this was a kid straight out of the Hamptons and Yale rather than Brooklyn. Except for one detail, Shawn Carter is black.

    “There is no Black or White music anymore”

    For Carter, he tells the story of a young black man, hustling the streets but if you look at the industry data, between 65% and 85% of hip hop fans are non-black. (sources: Soundscan, SMLG, MRI). Without the white kids, rappers like Notorious B.I.G and Busta Rhymes, all who attended Trenton High with Jay-Z would simply have been niche artists rather than multi-millionaires. A recent Soundscan report concluded that “as much as 70 percent of the paying (and downloading) hip-hop audience is white kids living in the suburbs.” Hardly the projects in Brooklyn.

    After a recent gig at Arizona State University, Jay-Z issued a press statement that said “there is no black or white music anymore, just good and bad music” pointing to the blurring of lines in a once heavily demarcated musical genre. How can hip-hop be the sound of the ghetto the president be black and the nation’s most popular hip hop artist (Eminem) be white?

    • Traditional music marketing offered and black & white view of the world
    • Demographics used to be an effective tool for predicting behavior but not anymore
    • The shared themes that connect people across demographic and genre are more predictive of behavior and attitude

    Traditional segmentation is broken

    Business-wise, Jay-Z makes sense. What of those fans who were teens back when Jay-Z went solo at 26 almost 15 years ago? Do they suddenly turn over to “easy listening”? No, he keeps telling the story but he grows up with them.

    It’s a challenge industry faces every day – segmentation. If you look at the recording industry’s sales by genre, Rock accounts for the majority of all sales, followed by Pop and R&B. But, according to the RIAA, there are only 10 genres, including anomalies like “easy listening”, “new age” and “world music”. You only have to check Wikipedia to see the market reality – Wiki lists 200+ genres of electronic music alone.

    • The whole music industry used to be organized around genre but now this DNA is changing
    • The industry has lost control of the definition, now customers decide on genres
    • Genres are becoming so fragmented that they are becoming useless for marketing purposes

    Genres fall apart

    The modern customer is an anomaly. French teens close down Charles de Gaulle airport to herald the arrival of a K-pop band. Female Indonesian soccer fans flood twitter during the world cup. Bollywood pop artists like Daler Mehndi find fan bases in Korea. A middle aged hip-hop superstar from Brooklyn sits down with the sage of Omaha (aka the richest man in the world)?

    As Steve Forbes himself said, “You two are unique even though you are in different spheres”. Both a genre of one yet more similar than traditional marketers would care to think.

    Connecting the dots

    The anomaly exists only in the eyes of the traditional marketer – one who holds on to the idea of segmentation. Women don’t want pink phones. Female technology enthusiasts want to connect with other technology enthusiasts, not other females.

    The differences within traditional demographic segments are far greater than the differences between them. When a 17 year old Filipino female student and a 45 year old American marketing executive both love Jay-Z, segmentation becomes irrelevant. No more “we’re different here”.

    Traditional marketing bases categorization around how customers relate to products, modern marketing needs to base it around how customers relate to each other. Modern marketing needs to move beyond demographics and psychographics and look at connecting people through the shared stories that are meaningful to their lives.

    Segmentation serves no purpose

    Segmentation isn’t useful to the customer (who searches in “Rock” on iTunes or Spotify) and offers little to the brand (more segmentation does not lead to more accuracy). What becomes relevant are the stories that these artists and brands tell. In this case, that of an underdog trying to get ahead in the world. The only markets left are the markets of one, connected by themes that transcend traditional barriers.

    • More segmentation does not lead to more accuracy
    • Customers no longer rely on segmentation for discovery or identity, they turn to each other
    • The emotional stories and themes that connect people are replacing segmentation as the most predictive and useful way of organizing marketing

    Moving beyond segmentation

    So why do we segment in the first place? According to Wind and Cardozo (1973) segmentation “involves appropriate grouping of individual customers into a manageable and efficient (in a cost/benefit sense) number of market segments, for each of which a different marketing strategy is feasible and likely profitable.”

    Segmentation is a byproduct of the industrial process. We segmented markets to for management and efficiency. Like advertising, segmentation is the symptom of an information problem, of an era of scarcity and shelfspace rather than digital abundance.

    This isn’t 1989 anymore

    Now, however, the Pepsi Generation is over. This isn’t 1989 anymore. Like advertising, segmentation becomes increasingly ineffective. Of course, segmentation will be around for a long time yet. But consider why. So, do you invest your skills and knowledge in a ship destined to sink or one with a future?

    • Segmentation is a product of the industrial era
    • Many interests are built on segmentation (e.g. job titles, departments, internal reporting) so many interests will try to defend the idea of segmentation and prevent change rather than do what’s right for the business or customer
    • Segmentation will still be around in years to come but, like advertising, its effectiveness is already in decline

    The future lies in connecting the dots between these diffuse digital diasporas – the fans that sit across segments and the advocates that transcend demography. As Jay-Z said on his Forbes interview, “I didn’t focus on any particular demographic, I just focused on telling my story.”

    Recommended Reading

    Get mobileYouth’s latest report: The End of Customer Segmentation

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  • 3 Reasons Why Youth are Important to Your Business

    Overview

    In this article I’ll look at the myths involving the youth market and offer 3 reasons why you need to be on board to keep your brand relevant – not just in the future but right here today. Before we get started, here’s 3 reports you’ll be interested in to give you the necessary background info, data and case studies:

    3 Recommended Research Reports:

    If you want an introduction and the key numbers behind the youth market opportunity, check out these 3 recommended mobileYouth research reports available on the Youth Research Store:

    Exploding the Myths

    • “Youth are cheap”
    • “Gen Y is fickle”
    • “Millennials are only good for prepaid”

    We hear these words every day and every day we simply point to the evidence – great brands like Apple and Amazon have successfully built their businesses on the youth market, so why can’t you?

    Defining the Youth Market

    According to Wikipedia

    Generation Y, also known as the Millennial Generation, is the demographic cohort following Generation X. There are no precise dates for when Generation Y starts and ends. Commentators use beginning birth dates from the latter 1970s, or from the early 1980s to the early 2000s.

    That means we’re dealing with customers from the early teens up until the threshold of their 30s. That’s a very large market and with it a very wide and complex set of mobile customers. Trying to categorize these customers as one blob for analytical convenience is as difficult as using one metric to measure their value – but that’s what we as an industry do.

    Redefining Value

    The issue stems from an inherent problem in the mobile industry – the only measure of value we have of a customer’s worth is their phone bill. But, what of the student who spends $500 on an iPhone and then puts it on prepay at $12 a month? The reality is that ARPU is a weak measure of value and particularly for mobile operators, we need to move from measuring revenue to measuring value.

    • Youth are cheap if we only consider ARPU
    • Our measures of value need to evolve from ARPU to lifetime value
    • Great brands like Apple and Amazon have successfully evolved from ARPU to lifetime value

    Apple: Building a Beachhead on the Student Market

    Apple got this right, first building a Beachhead in the student market with its music offering, iTunes and the iPod. From this vantage point it moved into the iPhone and the rest, as they say, is history. If Apple had gone after the high-spending executive customers, it would have been duking it out with Microsoft on the Redmond’s home turf.

    When I went to college, everyone used PC. Only left-handers used Macs. By the late 90s, all the college kids were using Macs. Now, the same students are IT managers and heads of departments with their iPads and iPhones.

    • Apple built on its brand Beachhead in the student market
    • Apple adopted a long term organic approach to growing the brand
    • If Apple had chased high end customers first, it would have lost to Microsoft

    The Harley Effect: What Ages Brands

    Nokia and Blackberry didn’t get it right. From 2006-2008 both Nokia and Blackberry rose to prominence as the leading youth brands not just in their category but globally. Nokia was ranked as the #1 youth brand in the world. Blackberry beat Coke as the most respected youth brand in South Africa in 2010, the same year of the soccer world cup (where Coke was a $500m headline sponsor).

    Nokia and Blackberry suffered from what we call the Harley Effect – aging with your customer base. The average age of the Harley Davidson owner is now 51. Middle aged folk remember Easy Rider and Dennis Hopper from their era as the icons of cool. The problem is, that Harley chased the high end customers rather than reinvest their profit into staying relevant with youth.

    Harley-Davidson Tries to Rejuvenate Its Business
    “Its patrons grew older and wealthier, but its efforts to cultivate a large base of
    female and younger riders have been marginally successful.” (source Time)

    Now both brands are suffering the tail end of a slow-motion car-crash, the basketball feeding through the hose pipe and other analogies. It will take time, as with aged brands like Levis 501, for these two to rediscover their roots in the youth market and feed through to relevance once again.

    • Short term focus on ARPU seduces brands into focusing on high end customers
    • If you always chase the high end, middle market, your market will age out of relevance
    • Harley Davidson used to be a cutting edge youth brand but now it suffers from an aging market

    The 3 Reasons

    The Key to winning the youth market is building a compelling business case why. Why do we need youth?

    If it’s only about ARPU, you’re always going to chase the high end customers and end up like Harley Davidson.

    The challenge here is building a case around long term value, the stuff which happens off the phone bill. So, here’s 3 reason to help you build that case:

    1. Youth are the High End Customers

    Consider the phone bill and youth appear to be cheaper than middle aged executives. According to The Mobile Youth Report, execs spend marginally more (10-20%) but are often on contract as opposed to prepaid.

    What isn’t factored into this equation is the complete picture:

    • Spend on the handset
    • Spend on mobile data services and accessories

    Our research shows that youth are far more willing to spend on the above two categories than older customers. In fact, they’re spending significantly more of their disposable income meaning they have more skin in the game, meaning they place a higher premium on getting in right.

    Only 42% of youth rated price as “very important” as a factor in choosing their handset (the lowest of all age groups according to our research), with 88% citing a good customer experience as key to their purchase decision.

    Factors included warranty, durability and reliability.

    That means not only do youth cite tangible factors other than price, they also offer real insight into what drives the market. Price is never a good indicator of product demand.

    Price is overrated by the industry. According to the Mobile Youth Report, industry execs thought “price” was the #1 reason why people bought handsets followed by experience at #2. In reality, customers cited these factors the other way round showing that as an industry, our logic and understanding of buyer behavior is very basic.

    When it becomes about price, you’re in the business of commodity. If handsets and operators want to know why buy, look beyond the older customers who tend to mention price and see what youth are saying about the offers.

    Youth propensity to spend on value added services is well documented. Youth use mobile messaging services 10x more than older peers. But beyond messaging, youth are spending on music, games, video and apps, opening up these new markets to further investment with their initial revenues.

    The value of youth should not be confined to the phone bill. This logic limits you to the mistakes of brands like Nokia, Blackberry and Levis. Think more like Apple and Amazon and invest in the long term.

    • If you consider complete spend (ARPU + handset + off bill services/products), youth are high end customers
    • Youth rate experience over price. Older customers rate price. If you want to move away from the race-to-the-bottom you have to seek answers in the youth market
    • Youth means investing in the long term. It’s not an either-or situation with young vs old customers in the same way business should not focus on the short or the long term. Business needs to focus on both.

    2. Youth are the Influencers

    Gen Y, Millennials and students are the most vocal when it comes to sharing reviews and information about products with peers. 57% of teenage girls and 47% of teenage boys share new brands or trends with their friends (source The Mobile Youth Report).

    What separates the youth and older markets is the youth market’s propensity to create Earned Media.

    A quick 101 on Earned Media from Wikipedia to bring you up to speed:

    Earned media (or free media) refers to favorable publicity gained through promotional efforts other than advertising, as opposed to paid media, which refers to publicity gained through advertising. Earned media often refers specifically to publicity gained through editorial influence, whereas social media refers to publicity gained through grassroots action, particularly on the Internet.

    Earned media is key to brand success today.

    But it’s not just each other they’re influencing. Consider the mother of the teenager daughter who’s just learned to use Whatsapp thanks to her daughter installing it on her Samsung Galaxy. Youth tend to be the educators and introducers of new technologies into families.

    Brands are often scared to let youth get hold of their products and start advocating them but this is the route to the adult market. Of course, it takes time but Apple has risen to prominence with the highest NPS (net promoter score) of all handset brands on the back of a highly vocal student population who grew up with the brand.

    • Youth are the most vocal customers
    • Youth influence each other and adult customers
    • The route to the adult market (long term) is through organic growth in the youth market

    3. Youth Drive Innovation

    When parents first bought the iPad, they bought it on the promise of the educational tool painted by its initial marketing. In reality, it was youth (particularly primary school children) who soon co-opted the device and turned it into a games machine.

    Youth often take devices out of the context they were originally intended for and turn them into something better (Blackberry and BBM are good cases in point). SMS represents possibly the most significant example of this, given than SMS was originally designed by industry engineers as a system test tool. $1 trillion later, youth have demonstrated their ability to turn our mistakes into successes.

    Innovation today is fraught with risk. Consider MMS or Location Based Services – 2 very expensive mistakes made by the mobile industry. It took the best part of a decade to see even the smallest upticks in customer behavior on these two platforms. Only when the industry let go and customers took control did MMS or LBS become anything of note.

    De-risking innovation means allowing youth to take the technology, run with it and turn it into something useful. Something useful means applicable for the less-tolerant mass market who want products out of the box. Where youth will navigate inconsistency, the adult mass market wants everything to simply work.

    Launching products onto the adult mass market is risky, particularly if you are targeting corporate executives. If you filter it through the youth market first, you get a better idea of applicable charging models, usage scenarios and the messages you need to emphasize in your marketing when later approaching the mass market.

    • Youth drive the uptake of new technologies
    • Youth today provide a mirror to how the mass market will use technologies tomorrow
    • Investing in the innovation of the youth market today allows you to de-risk new product launches for the mass market tomorrow

    Summary

    Great brands are first built in the youth market. If you chase the high end customers your market will eventually fall off the cliff. You need to be grounded in both markets – an approach that’s worked effectively for brands like Apple and Amazon over the last decade. I share these kind of insights every week on the Mobile Youth newsletter: How to Master the $500 billion youth market opportunity. Subscribe to get weekly insights by email.

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    “I just wanted to say that I’m in awe of everything you guys over there are MobileYouth do. Keep that information flowing :) ” – Omer Kaplan, Product Manager youth specialist, ooVoo

    “Thank you for sharing this, it is one of the most insightful analysis I’ve read recently. Will share it with my colleagues” – Ioana Ban, Market Research Analyst at Vodafone

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Mobile Youth Around The World April 29, 2013

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